carpoftruth [any, any]

Your bait of falsehood takes this carp of truth; And thus do we of wisdom and of reach, With windlasses and with assays of bias, By indirections find directions out.

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Joined 3 years ago
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Cake day: October 23rd, 2023

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  • One Patriot battery can only cover a limited area: for example, a small military base but not a whole city. One alternative could be France and Italy’s SAMP/T NG air defense system. France has promised to speed up the delivery of the system — the upgraded version of the current SAMP/T — to Ukraine, which the manufacturer says is better able to counter ballistics. The new iteration, however, has not yet been battle tested and the current version of the SAMP/T has a smaller range than the Patriot. While U.S. and European militaries have warships that can serve as mobile air defense, they may be too far from a target to protect it and could risk getting sunk.

    So one patriot battery covers a limited area, therefore one alternative is a system that covers an even more limited area than a patriot galaxy-brain





  • Critical minerals is a very y wide ranging and not concrete term. It is distinct from rare earth minerals. Critical minerals basically means “anything geopolitically important”, which in times when pesky materialism rears its head, means just about everything. The Canadian federal government has designated a whole including materials with low value add (coal, iron ore, phosphate, sulphur), medium value add (copper, nickel, manganese, cobalt, aluminum, things that can be exported as metal or as concentrate), and high value add (rare earth concentrates, high purity oxides). Canada makes a huge amount of the former, a fair amount of the middle, and not a lot of the latter at all. It is incorrect to portray Canadian mining companies as getting everything from abroad. A ton of shit comes out of the ground in Canada and exported abroad.

    Yes mining companies headquartered in Canada own a lot of mines abroad, especially in the global south (especially LATAM), and plenty of materials go from the global south to world markets through Canadian domiciled companies. However, there are also a lot of resource projects in Canada that export materials/concentrate/metals from within Canada outside.

    Those projects are also often executed in Canada with the same kind of disregard for environmental and indigenous issues. That said, I continue to be surprised by the level of domestic support for rapacious resource extraction, including among local communites and even some indigenous communities. Canada’s domestic history is as “hewers of wood and drawers of water” and that history remains alive today.





    • iran is a huge country and very mountainous
    • satellite surveillance and associated image processing resources are not infinite. a high res satellite can cover a swath something like 10-20km wide per pass and iran is a couple thousand km by a couple thousand km
    • high res spy satellites are in low earth orbit and do passes over an area. satellites that look down on an area live are in geosynchronous orbit which is much much higher, meaning live coverage is lower resolution, not able to live track vehicles
    • loitering surveillance planes like the MQ9 reaper are able to track individual vehicles, but they keep getting shot down by iran and can’t overfly the country safely
    • missile launchers look like a cargo truck. iran is a country of 90m people, so there’s probably something on the order of 0.5-1m normal cargo trucks in the country. who knows how many launchers there are, but my guess is maybe 0.5-1% of cargo trucks in the country (2500-10000). how do you distinguish between a launcher truck and a truck filled with other cargo?
    • during this war, the US and israel have flown something like 20,000 sorties on about as many targets, including all the other shit they’ve targeted, like naval targets, bases, tunnel entrances, and of course schools, civil infrastructure
    • flying a sortie from US carriers/israeli airbases is something like several hours to and from Iran, each way. that is a long time to maintain a lock on a specific vehicle even if you spot it, and if you lose sight of it, you will probably lose it in a warehouse or tunnel or shed (see the scoot and shoot tactic)

    tldr material reality doesn’t allow for what you’re describing, the math doesn’t math

    join us in the newsmega if you want to learn more, tervell is a great poster there