copacetic@discuss.tchncs.deM to forecasting@discuss.tchncs.deEnglish · 9 months agoHow Inevitable is Biden’s Nomination, According to Manifold Superforecasters?news.manifold.marketsexternal-linkmessage-square3fedilinkarrow-up12arrow-down14
arrow-up1-2arrow-down1external-linkHow Inevitable is Biden’s Nomination, According to Manifold Superforecasters?news.manifold.marketscopacetic@discuss.tchncs.deM to forecasting@discuss.tchncs.deEnglish · 9 months agomessage-square3fedilink
minus-squarecopacetic@discuss.tchncs.deOPMlinkfedilinkEnglisharrow-up1·9 months ago The market now gives Biden an 89% chance (up from a brief low of 86% after the Klein article)