Alright, Im playing Long War. Im no expert at long war, but i do have a pretty good idea when im falling behind. Its early June of first year, and I just got laser weapons. How far behind am I?

Also I recently lost 3 soldiers, an assault Specialist and 2 Corporals on a landed medium UFO, but eeked out a victory with my other soldiers. Big loss, but not irrecoverable, right?