None of what I write in this newsletter is about sowing doubt or “hating,” but a sober evaluation of where we are today and where we may end up on the current path. I believe that the artificial intelligence boom — which would be better described as a generative AI boom — is (as I’ve said before) unsustainable, and will ultimately collapse. I also fear that said collapse could be ruinous to big tech, deeply damaging to the startup ecosystem, and will further sour public support for the tech industry.
Can’t blame Zitron for being pretty downbeat in this - given the AI bubble’s size and side-effects, its easy to see how its bursting can have some cataclysmic effects.
(Shameless self-promo: I ended up writing a bit about the potential aftermath as well)
Every time I’ve read how chain-of-thought works in o1 it’s been completely different, and I’m still not sure I understand what’s supposed to be going on. Apparently you get a strike notice if you try too hard to find out how the chain-of-thinking process goes, so one might be tempted to assume it’s something that’s readily replicable by the competition (and they need to prevent that as long as they can) instead of any sort of notably important breakthrough.
From the detailed o1 system card pdf linked in the article:
Ballsy to just admit your hallucination benchmarks might be worthless.
The newsletter also mentions that the price for output tokens has quadrupled compared to the previous newest model, but the awesome part is, remember all that behind-the-scenes self-prompting that’s going on while it arrives to an answer? Even though you’re not allowed to see them, according to Ed Zitron you sure as hell are paying for them (i.e. they spend output tokens) which is hilarious if true.
From the documentation:
Huh.
ah yes, open AI