A study was conducted that revealed that once a COVID vaccine was available, Republicans were more likely to die than Democrats:
Republicans’ excess death rate spiked after COVID-19 vaccines arrived, a study says
Excess Death Rates for Republicans and Democrats During the COVID-19 Pandemic
“This study constructs an individual-level dataset with political affiliation and excess death rates during the COVID-19 pandemic via a linkage of 2017 voter registration in Ohio and Florida to mortality data from 2018 to 2021. We estimate substantially higher excess death rates for registered Republicans when compared to registered Democrats, with almost all of the difference concentrated in the period after vaccines were widely available in our study states. Overall, the excess death rate for Republicans was 5.4 percentage points (pp), or 76%, higher than the excess death rate for Democrats.”
Do you think this will have a significant impact on the election results in states like Ohio and Florida?
Oh yeah, everything you wrote about excess mortality in rural vs urban areas is 100% correct. But the Census aimed to enumerate everyone living in the country as of April 1, 2020, and it hit NYC really hard right at the start. So the fact that the rest of the country eventually caught up with the mortality rate didn’t help NY State in the Census at all.