Image is of the leaders of various parties making up the French left coalition in the coming parliamentary elections, from this article.


Macron has recently called a snap parliamentary election in the aftermath of the far-right getting a large proportion of the votes in the EU elections. Why exactly he called an election at a point of profound weakness is a little beyond me. Explanations that I’ve seen range from “He thinks the element of surprise will benefit his party and not others,” to “WW3 is about to start and he doesn’t want to be leader for it,” (which, like, isn’t true - Macron is the President of France, not Prime Minister, he won’t be unseated by this election and he has said he will not stand down regardless of result), to “He doesn’t want to swim in the shit-filled Seine.”

While we still have a couple weeks to go, the polling I’ve seen generally puts the far-right in first place with the left-wing coalition slightly behind, with Macron’s party all the way back in third place. Anybody who knows anything about French politics knows that while France does actually have something of a left opposition in aggregate (in contrast to the two wings of the Capitalist Party in the UK and the US, for example), French left coalitions are profoundly unstable and this one will inevitably split - perhaps even before the voting begins - meaning they aren’t nearly as useful as they otherwise could be.

Living in a France governed by far right parties would be awful, but maybe they might at least be against the carnage in Ukraine, and sue for peace with Russia? Well, possibly not, if the example of Meloni in Italy is anything to go by. It seems that the differences between the “centrist” parties and the fascist ones truly are not that great, beholden to the exact same set of capitalists regardless of which party wins, and will likely bend the knee to NATO, though they may grumble a lot. Would a left coalition be better on Russia/NATO? They have already helpfully told us that they won’t (only opposing sending French troops to Ukraine but otherwise being full steam ahead), and additionally are genocidal Zionists. Western leftists have long been hampered by a dramatically faulty misunderstanding of how geopolitics works, with many seemingly believing “imperialism is when countries interact with other countries” and “democracy is when you can vote between two parties even if widely popular policies aren’t at all represented by either of them, and if those popular policies are enacted but it’s by a one-party state then that’s authoritarian evil” and other such strange ideas, making them terminally useless on foreign issues and pretty unremarkable on domestic issues too. France is no exception.

And just to top it all off, this is coming in a period of further imperial decline for the tattered remains of the French empire, with West Africa rebelling and Kanaky (New Caledonia) deeply unhappy with recent French decisions.


The COTW (Country of the Week) label is designed to spur discussion and debate about a specific country every week in order to help the community gain greater understanding of the domestic situation of often-understudied nations. If you’ve wanted to talk about the country or share your experiences, but have never found a relevant place to do so, now is your chance! However, don’t worry - this is still a general news megathread where you can post about ongoing events from any country.

The Country of the Week is France! Feel free to chime in with books, essays, longform articles, even stories and anecdotes or rants. More detail here.

Please check out the HexAtlas!

The bulletins site is here!
The RSS feed is here.
Last week’s thread is here.

Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA daily-ish reports on Israel’s destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news (and has automated posting when the person running it goes to sleep).
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Various sources that are covering the Ukraine conflict are also covering the one in Palestine, like Rybar.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia’s youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful. Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don’t want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it’s just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists’ side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR’s former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR’s forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster’s telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a ‘propaganda tax’, if you don’t believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


    • Tunnelvision [they/them]@hexbear.net
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      12 days ago

      So true. I’m not saying I understand the macro economy or anything, but just at a glance knowing what the bourgeoisie want and the IMF loans and stuff, wouldn’t the national debt being high be a good thing? Like having the USD being used all over the globe is exactly how the US maintains economic hegemony.

      • Droplet [comrade/them]@hexbear.net
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        12 days ago

        I’ll try to make it as simple as possible.

        National debt is just a holdover from the gold standard era (or a fixed exchange rate currency i.e. your currency is pegged to another currency).

        You see, during the gold standard era, your currency is tied to the amount of gold you have (which has a stable price). Let’s say your economy has $100 billion in circulation, you need $100 billion worth of gold in reserve to back your currency.

        Now, let’s say we want to build a hospital - it will cost $1 billion. If you “print” $1 billion to spend on the hospital (hiring labor, buying raw materials etc.), then your economy would have $101 billion, but you only have $100 billion worth of gold. That means your exchange rate will be driven down by the excess spending.

        How do you spend that extra $1 billion to build a hospital without breaking the constraint of your gold reserve? You either have to take money out of the circulation - exactly $1 billion, or you have to increase the amount of your gold reserve.

        First, let’s explore how you can take money out of the circulation: one way is through taxation. You increase taxes of the citizens by $1 billion so you can spend $1 billion to finance a hospital construction in return. This is where the common notion of taxation funds government spending comes from. But in reality, this doesn’t make sense: the government prints its own money, why would it need to earn tax revenues from the citizens? Well, the reason is simply that the government wants to take that money out of the circulation before it can spend the new money, because it needed to defend the currency exchange rate against the gold reserve it has.

        Another way to take money out of the circulation is through issuing government bonds. Here, instead of destroying the money it collected (taxation), private citizens lend their money to the government to be safe-kept in a special account, for 1/5/10 years, which then pays interests at maturity. This enables the government to effectively take the money out of the circulation but the private sector/citizens don’t have to lose their money. It is being “safe-kept” and the government “promises” to give you interests in return after a few years of not using your money. This is where the common notion of government borrowing finances government spending comes from. But really, it’s function is to take money out of the circulation.

        Next, instead of taking money out of circulation, the government can also increase the amount of their gold reserve. There are three basic ways to do that: dig (find gold in your own backyard), buy (export goods made using your resources and labor in exchange for gold) or steal (colonize and steal another country’s gold/resources and then sell for gold).

        As you can see, the gold standard imposes a lot of fiscal constraints on government spending. The same applies to a fixed currency (e.g. pegging your currency to US dollar, for example, as was under the Bretton Woods era). If you want to spend too much, you risk devaluing your currency, which causes import to become more expensive, then inflation. This was the case for the British empire and the pound sterling. During warfare, they had to borrow excessively to finance their spending, which resulted in heavy financial burden after the war.

        Clearly this system was unsustainable (either gold or Bretton Woods), so it finally crumbled in 1971 when the French, having received so much US dollars remitted from French Indochina banks during Vietnam War that the US clearly did not have the gold reserve for, demanded that Nixon pay them in gold instead of paper dollars. Nixon shocked everyone by abandoning the Bretton Woods, and thus we have entered (by accident) the fiat era, where currency is not backed by gold or any commodity, but simply backed by the state (or, its ability to coerce taxation on its citizens).

        — —

        The government debt is as such a holdover from the gold standard/Bretton Woods era, but it takes on a new role that has very little to do with financing public spending.

        Now, lets’ see what happens during government spending in a fiat currency system.

        You see, when a government spends (in a fiat currency system), what happens is really that Congress (let’s say the US) approves a $1 billion spending bill to build a hospital, the Treasury then goes into overdraft with a $1 billion spending, and the Federal Reserve (central bank) creates $1 billion reserves, which then goes into the reserve account of the private bank (let’s say Chase), which then allows the private bank to create $1 billion deposit in the account of the company the US government has contracted to build a hospital.

        Note: understanding the following details is optional. It’s really just accounting and operational mechanics of central banks and little to do with what the government can actually spend.

        Reserve accounts are special accounts used by private banks (and also foreign banks) within the Federal Reserve (central bank) to transfer the reserves for daily operations. The reserves are what allowed the banks to clear your checks - when you take a check worth $1000 to deposit in your bank (Bank A), what happens is that $1000 from the reserve account of bank B (the payer’s bank) is transferred into the reserve account of Bank A (the depositor’s bank). This then allows Bank A to create a $1000 deposit in your account, that you can then withdraw as cash.

        [In other words, $1000 is debited from the payer deposit/checking account in Bank B, and $1000 is debited from the reserve account of Bank B in the central bank. At the same time, $1000 is credited to the reserve account of Bank A in the central bank, and an equivalent $1000 is credited to the deposit/checking account of the depositor (you) ]

        At the end of each day, the banks will have to make sure that they have the sufficient amount of reserve as required by the law (say 10% of their total deposits). The most important point here is that banks don’t really want to keep more reserve than are required, because those are dead money that doesn’t earn any interest, so they’d want to lend them out (within the central bank that is inaccessible to the public). Because of interbank transactions, on each day, there will be banks with less reserve than the required threshold (maybe because a lot of money is transferred from their bank to another), and there will be banks with more reserves than needed (because maybe more money is transferred to their bank on this particular day). So, the banks with less reserves will borrow from banks with more reserves to make sure they meet the legal requirement of maintaining a sufficient amount of reserves.

        However, one problem here is that because banks will compete to lend out their excess reserves, this will drives interest rate down eventually to near 0% (because nobody wants that dead money, even a very small yield is still worth lending), which would be below the target interest rate set by the Federal Reserve (Fed fund rate), say 2%.

        This is where government borrowing comes in. To ensure that the interest rate can be targeted at 2%, the Treasury issues bonds at 2% interest. Now, banks with excess reserves are faced with two choices: lend their reserve out to the government and earn 2%, or compete with one another to lend to other private banks and drive down the interest to 0%. Obviously banks will want that 2% interest, so, simply by issuing government bonds, the government has effectively set the minimum lending interest at 2%.

        But what does this has to do with government/national debt? You see, it’s actually very simple and stupid at the same time. When the government spends $1 billion, the Treasury goes into $1 billion overdraft, creating $1 billion excess in the interbank reserves (within the central bank). These extra $1 billion are practically free money for the banks, and they will want to lend out as soon as they can, which will eventually - once again - drive the interest rate down to 0%. Now, to target a 2% interest rate, the Treasury simply issues “government bond” (debt) to soak up all those $1 billion excess reserves and at the same time “balancing out” the $1 billion overdraft in its account.

        That’s it - there is nothing special about the government debt in a fiat currency system. Every time a government spends $1 billion to build a hospital, the Treasury issues a $1 billion debt to balance out its books which has nothing to do with the actual capacity of the government to spend. It’s pure accounting and central bank operations - the government debt serves as a drain of excess reserve liquidity in the central banking system.

        Note that all these took place in the reserve accounts within the central bank. It has nothing to do with the money you can access in your bank accounts.

        For the US as the global reserve currency issuer, there is an extra function for the government debt as well: when the US recklessly spends billions of dollars overseas, foreign central banks earned those dollars and after spending some of those dollars to import stuff (because they are net exporters and the US is net importer, the net exporting countries will always end up holding more dollars than they can spend), because they are not allowed to purchase critical US assets, the only way to use the money is by buying US Treasury debt promising a few % of interests.

        Thus, the US treasuries effectively serve as a drain that absorbs the excess dollar spending overseas, allowing it to regulate how much dollars are being circulated in the world. So, it is not correct to say that foreign banks lend their dollars to the US government to finance US deficit spending, it is simply that the excess dollars had nowhere else to go and are “recycled” back to the US shores in the form of treasury bonds (national debt).

        • Droplet [comrade/them]@hexbear.net
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          11 days ago

          (cont’d)

          Final note: because eurozone countries do not have monetary sovereignty (i.e. they cannot create their own currency), the governments effectively function like a state government under a federated system that needs to finance its own spending through taxation and borrowing. None of the benefits of the fiat system applies to the member states of the eurozone.

          Also, I have omitted the foreign sector (trade) for simplicity’s sake. But the upshot is that as long as you have energy sovereignty, food sovereignty and low external debt (denominated in foreign currency), your fiscal constraint using a fiat currency system is going to be a lot less as long as the goods and services are purchasable in the currency you can create. Unfortunately many Global South countries need the dollar to import essential commodities, as well as having borrowed in dollar-denominated debt, which makes it much harder for them to spend in large quantity in their own currency.

          This is more of a matter of colonialism/imperialism and very little to do with “printing too much money will cause inflation” or “the government cannot spend more than what it earns” which are all neoliberal myths.

          • SeventyTwoTrillion [he/him]@hexbear.netOPM
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            11 days ago

            this and other things demonstrates why (capitalist) libertarianism is such a nonsensical ideology.

            it’s tempting to attack it along the lines of “well if you removed all worker protections then we’d be in a capitalist dystopia hellscape of endless suffering” but if you’re assuming that with your very savvy business acumen that you definitely, 100% have because you managed to get a few thousand dollars out of cryptocurrency, you will become one of the few billionaires at the top, why give a shit? it’s heartless but you don’t feel any suffering while cruising around on your yacht which is cruising around in the giant pool of a gigayacht.

            instead, one should emphasize that the whole thing of balancing budgets is nonsense, and even the fundamental conceit laying at the heart of libertarianism is just not true; that “the state and market are adversarial opposites” when the exact opposite has been true in capitalist economies for centuries. it also explains why libertarian-oriented parties/leaders which occasionally achieve power (e.g. Milei) never really reduce state power, they just amp up the power of capitalist repression (police, the army, surveillance) while removing worker rights. more-or-less fascism. some libertarians are at least honest and go “oh yeah, this is what I wanted the whole time, I just didn’t want to call myself a fascist because that’s an unattractive word for my ideology” while others are like “goddamn it! our plans are foiled again! why are all our leaders so inconsistent! they just want power, they don’t care about our ideology after all!”

            never let these people be regarded as The Economy Understanders just because they have an unhealthy amount of knowledge about the Federal Reserve and how blockchain works

      • TechnoAnomie [he/him, any]@hexbear.net
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        12 days ago

        But if you admit that, you’re too close to admitting it’s a global hegemonic empire. And also, if you say it often enough, eventually you’ll get a nice batch of morons in power who actually believe it. See: the Euro becoming a suicide pact for all.