Assuming that the left gets its shit together before Homo sapiens goes extinct.
My vote goes to either the USA or France. Especially because the Paris Commune already happened. “Smeagol did it once…he can do it again!” Paris seems to have been packed with rioters 24/7 for several years. Not so different maybe from the American Midwest. The ruling class is investing heavily in police in both countries. It’s afraid!
I know this seems partly delusional of me and that there is far more hope in the Global South unifying and then strangling the imperial core from the outside. But still, gun to your head, pick an imperial core country and explain how and why it will fall first. Marx, after all, predicted that socialism would come first to those places that had progressed along capitalist development the most. (Yes, you are invited to explain how wrong I am about this.) The USA falling to socialism would probably cause the rest of the planet to fall the same way.
edit: my choices seem embarrassing now, thank you for enlightening me comrades.
Does Ireland even count as being part of the imperial core? It has so many characteristics of a colony even though it is technically filled with “white” people (who were not considered white until very recently). But regardless this is a good take.
Ireland’s one of those places where labels break down. They are an EU nation and an international tax haven. The Irish may not be directly imperialists, but the country benefits from imperialism